Supporting society to be resilient to natural hazards and climate change

Climate change impacts all facets of the way society interacts with the environment, especially how and when to use space and resources wisely.

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Environmental planning researchers at the University of Waikato have multiple ongoing projects to help towns and cities grow sustainably, be more resilient to adverse weather and natural disasters, and adapt to climate change.

The team reaches beyond the boundary of the University to conduct projects in collaboration with end users to generate immediate real-world impact. Our University’s researchers work alongside engineers and modellers to translate data and to apply it to policy and decisions concerning how we grow while protecting what we value and avoiding transferring risk to future generations.

The changing climate is affecting lives, livelihoods and ecosystems, and so we need to plan future growth carefully. At the same time, the high demand for housing across New Zealand has spawned a housing crisis that has resulted in politicians asking for more housing with fewer planning rules. A project with Toka Tū Ake, the Natural Hazards Commission, is developing an innovative Agent Based Model to understand why and where developers build houses and how this is influenced by hazard and zoning policies. The simulation model will be used to understand how best to design planning policies that protect future generations. This highly collaborative approach that joins together environmental planning researchers with city planners and policymakers helps to strike a balance between reducing the risk of potential hazards and future liabilities while satisfying the desire to expand land use to meet housing needs.
 
Adaptation research need not be limited to top- down implementation of research in vulnerable places, but may arise organically from members of the community who have inhabited our cherished spaces for a very long time. Indigenous Māori knowledge concerning natural hazards provides valuable insights for how we should embrace existing conditions and adapt to the environment that surrounds us.

Moreover, sustainable development calls for greater communication with an engaged public who may or may not support significant changes in how to navigate the world. Our researchers have identified areas where progress could occur at greater speed given public consensus, and other areas where more work will be required to convince a sceptical public of the need for radical change.

It is beyond doubt that the climate is changing, but questions linger about when, why and how quickly it will unfold. We still need to act, and better that we act now than leave it for our descendants to contend with something far worse than we have experienced recently. The University of Waikato’s environmental planning researchers empower responsible and prudential choices when it comes to sustainability.

2024 Highlights

Our research during 2024 drew from a variety of materials including historical experiences, Indigenous knowledge, policies and the views of the public to build insights that will support society to be resilient to natural hazards and climate change into the future.

AI and public consultation

In 2024 our researchers applied cutting-edge approaches to draw deeper insights from public submissions on plans at regional and national levels. We used natural language processing, a branch of AI, to rapidly process text-based submissions to distil insights, identify research gaps and provide new opportunities to analyse how responses differed between sectors or groups.

Climate adaptation

As the climate changes, making some natural hazards worse and creating a need for some communities to relocate, our researchers explored adaptation strategies and the insights required to manage changing risks effectively. We investigated and confirmed that in order to be flood-resilient, New Zealand needs to reconfigure its flood governance to achieve national consistency, while maintaining some variability to be effective at local scale. We also analysed the contentious topic of ‘managed retreat’, aiming to identify and understand how this policy became accepted in Aotearoa New Zealand and what other countries can learn from our experience.

Indigenous knowledge

Indigenous knowledge is critical for designing appropriate and effective climate change adaptation strategies. By highlighting histories of Māori communities relocating in response to natural hazards, we aimed to provide insights to help plan for future adaptation. Analysis of local knowledge in Jakarta, Indonesia, showed the potential for flood adaptation to incorporate Indigenous approaches to living harmoniously with water.

Citations

Looking backwards to move forwards: insights for climate change adaptation from historical Māori relocation due to natural hazards in Aotearoa New Zealand. Regional Environmental Change, 24(2). Bailey-Winiata, A. P., Gallop, S. L., White, I., Wotherspoon, L., Fa’aui, T., Dickson, M., & Ellis, J. (2024). doi.org/10.1007/s10113-024-02240-5
Natural Language Processing in Urban Planning: A Research Agenda. Journal of Planning Literature, 39(3), 395–407. Fu, X. (2024). doi.org/10.1177/08854122241229571 
Text mining public feedback on urban densification plan change in Hamilton, New Zealand. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 52(3). Fu, X., Brinkley, C., Sanchez, T. W., & Li, C. (2024). doi.org/10.1177/23998083241272097 
Re-Imagining Relationships with Space, Place, and Property: The Story of Mainstreaming Managed Retreats in Aotearoa-New Zealand. Planning Theory & Practice, 23(5), 681–702. Hanna, C., Cretney, R., & White, I. (2022). doi.org/10.1080/14649357.2022.2141845 
Informal adaptation to flooding in North Jakarta, Indonesia. Progress in Planning, 186, 100851. Prana, A. M., Dionisio, R., Curl, A., Hart, D., Gomez, C., Apriyanto, H., & Prasetya, H. (2024). doi.org/10.1016/j.progress.2024.100851 
The need to reconfigure consistency and variability to best manage changing flood risks in Aotearoa-New Zealand. Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand, 54(4), 473–490. Serrao-Neumann, S., White, I., Dean, S. M., Paulik, R., Sleight, B., Stori, F. T., Wilson, M. D., & Lane, E. M. (2023). doi.org/10.1080/03036758.2023.2211777

Sustainability stories

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Researchers are giving a voice to our planet by using the language of science to reveal the critical role that Antarctica plays in shaping our climate. 

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Climate change impacts all facets of the way society interacts with the environment, especially how and when to use space and resources wisely. 

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The University of Waikato is at the forefront of creating transformation that serves people, businesses and the environment. 

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Globally, chronic health conditions have placed resourcing demands upon already strained healthcare systems, thereby further exacerbating inequities. 

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The University of Waikato is a leader in marine conservation research, committed to protecting and restoring the health of our oceans and coastlines. 

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Our world is facing a range of deeply interconnected challenges that pit profit against our planet.